Snow or no snow? Forecasts disagree as wintry system approaches

This graphic shows the wide disagreement between the various weather forecasting models for how much snow Mid-Michigan could receive early Sunday.
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MID-MICHIGAN (WJRT) (4/26/2019) - Winter may make a quick return visit to Mid-Michigan on Saturday ... or not.

Forecast models show a chance of zero to trace amounts of snow into Sunday all the way up to isolated areas around I-69 getting 6 inches. The track of an approaching storm system will make all the difference.

Some forecasts show the system remaining south of Mid-Michigan and dumping most of its snow along the Michigan-Indiana border up to I-94. Other models show it setting dead aim on Mid-Michigan.

If the storm takes a southern track, Mid-Michigan won't see much snow if any. If the storm takes a more northern track, lots of wet heavy snow will fall.

The National Weather Service is calling for 2 to 3 inches of snow in Genesee and Shiawassee counties, 3 to 4 inches in Livingston and Oakland counties and little or no accumulation to the north and south.

The storm system is expected to move in just after midnight Sunday morning and move out by the late morning. It will start out as rain and change over to snow, which will limit accumulations.

Any snow that reaches the ground will be wet and heavy. However, it likely would only stick to grassy surfaces and vehicles -- likely not significant accumulations on roadways.

Temperatures will warm through the day on Sunday into the 50s, so the snow will melt quickly.